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Post by silverfox on Dec 15, 2022 21:34:35 GMT
{{Whitaker only qualifies as a second baseman}}
Which is a shame because he played 3B & SS before making the majors, but he wasn't going to unseat Trammell. In real life, he probably could play 3rd or short in a pinch, but he didn't in the majors. So the computer squad is limited.
{{Ed Killian (2.10), Bill Donovan (2.19), George Mullin (2.39), Dizzy Trout (2.47), Hooks Dauss (2.61)}}
Here's where I think the computer is biased :-) Somehow these guys have sucked when statistically they should be doing better.
OTOH, Hiller has really good stats, but he has been bombed this season. That makes it hard for me to advertise this group on the FB Tiger forum, which is run by Hiller's son :-)
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Post by Admin on Dec 17, 2022 12:25:25 GMT
One of the things we've learned over the first 2+ seasons of Eternal Baseball is that starters tend to go longer than you'd expect, so relievers don't pile up a ton of innings pitched. A pair of rough games can weigh on a reliever's ERA for a LONG time - Hiller has struggled a bit, but he's only thrown seven innings. Still, it can take time to statistically "work off" early season hiccups for a reliever.
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Post by silverfox on Dec 18, 2022 0:20:34 GMT
Hiller has struggled a bit, but he's only thrown seven innings.
He blew a 4 run lead in the 9th. I can't remember him ever doing that in real life.
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Post by Admin on Dec 19, 2022 3:01:29 GMT
Hiller has struggled a bit, but he's only thrown seven innings. He blew a 4 run lead in the 9th. I can't remember him ever doing that in real life.
He never faced hitters like this in real life either - not one after the other!
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Post by silverfox on Jan 9, 2023 20:03:52 GMT
Birmingham has been 10 games under .500 all year, all of a sudden they sweep the .625 Tigers? Who are the umpires in these games? Something isn't adding up.
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Post by Admin on Jan 10, 2023 13:32:07 GMT
Birmingham has been one of the best teams overall in the last two seasons but their rocky start has been one of the shocks of Season Three. I expected they would wake up at some point - maybe that's happening right now?
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Post by silverfox on Jan 12, 2023 18:07:17 GMT
B'ham 10 games under .500, all of a sudden they sweep the .625 Tigers? Who are the umpires in these games? Something isn't adding up.
Now the Tigers have lost like seven in a row. The software is broken. The other day it chose a pitcher, Donovan, to be the DH. What in the world was up with that? Heilman sent down to the minors when he was 4th in hitting in the AL, then a pitcher as DH? Now Trammell, among the current top 5 hitters, benched for Kuenn. What kind of algorithms would do such things?
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Post by silverfox on Jan 13, 2023 16:33:24 GMT
Heilman sent down when 4th in hitting in the AL, then a pitcher as DH? Now Trammell, among current top 5 hitters, benched for Kuenn.
I see Trammell is injured. Supposedly so was Heilman, but it was "undisclosed?. Sounds fabricated :-(
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Post by Admin on Jan 14, 2023 22:05:00 GMT
Pitchers as DH is complete garbage - I'm sorry that happened. I did tune up the Detroit rotation a bit, dropping in Tommy Bridges (who immediately threw a shutout) for the struggling Denny McLain (1-2, 7.71 ERA). I could swap Jack Morris in for Mickey Lolich as a long reliever/spot starter but Lolich (0-1, 6.75 ERA) has only pitched 1 1/3 innings so that might be too quick a hook. Verlander (2-2, 4.13 ERA) and Trout (3-1, 4.13 ERA) have been slightly disappointing - would you replace either with Morris or Jim Bunning?
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Post by silverfox on Jan 15, 2023 4:13:45 GMT
Computers have some limitations. For example, Jack Morris' ERA is high, but in big games, he was money. He was a situational pitcher. A computer can't account for that kind of stuff. Same with Kirk Gibson in big moments. In big moments, those guys were incredible (as was Lolich).
I understand they are going against the best in MLB history, but for McClain to have an ERA approaching 8 is absurd. For Ty Cobb to be hitting .265ish, for the second year in a row is criminal. Ty hit .360 career against Hall of Fame pitchers.
Bunning has done well in this league before, if I remember right, but it is WAY too early to give up on the Mick. I might have started the season with Bunning and brought in Lolich if he struggled, but it's too late for that.
I like when Tommy Bridges does well. I was the best man at his niece's wedding. Never met Tommy though. He wasn't around anymore by that time. Probably met some of his kids and didn't know it.
4.13 is not an outrageous ERA in Eternal Baseball, except maybe for this season being so pitching-favorable. Verlander is probably the best starter in Tigers history, no matter what the stats say about the old timers. Newhouser might be his closest rival.
Donovan as DH was garbage. He actually got two hits (no run production), but no one would ever do that in real life with all the Tiger options for DH. Bring up Gates Brown for a game instead of that. Or Willie Horton. Trusty Rusty was great, but you've probably got him on the Expos.
I'd love to see Frank Tanana activated, because I got to speak to him over the phone and he watched a video of mine, but I don't know who you could drop to make room for him.
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Post by Admin on Jan 16, 2023 11:40:03 GMT
Denny McLain's 7.71 ERA could be the result of a quick hook and a small sample size - he's only thrown 16 innings. Ty Cobb hitting .265 again is probably the result of a negative modifier on his stats. Every player has their stats adjusted anywhere between +30% and -30% every season, and that number cannot be viewed or altered by anyone. That individual statistical variance is what makes each Eternal Baseball season unique, since we don't have a lot of player movement or debuts. Frank Tanana is 4-7 with a 2.84 ERA...for the Angels.
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Post by silverfox on Jan 16, 2023 16:08:06 GMT
I understand the 30% modifier, or everybody and every team would have the same performance every year - but two years in a row for Ty Cobb to be down 100 points? The full -30%? Not 50 points. Not 25. In real life .335 was a BAD year for Cobb. He could hit .265 now, and he's been dead since 1961.
It seems like every Tiger hitter is down 30%, and much of the league is down some. Why can't Cobb get the plus 30% and hit .475? His best 4 year stretch he hit .401 for the entire 4 years. .365 is below his lifetime average. .265 is unthinkable.
Can that 30% be made to apply to less than a whole season? Half-season? A couple months? To give a superstar a chance to break out of a computer-generated slump? Or a limit that can't nail the same guy two years in a row? To have the greatest hitter of all-time hitting .265 for two full seasons is preposterous. It's like having Babe Ruth hit 19 HRs per year both seasons.
If Tanana had that ERA for the Tigers he'd be like 9-2 and in the Cy Young race.
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Post by Admin on Jan 17, 2023 12:40:50 GMT
The modifier can't be adjusted (it can't even be VIEWED) but you can tell when a player is being restricted if it's extreme. Joe DiMaggio hit 50 homers and won the A.L. MVP in Season One and Joe DiMaggio NEVER hit 50 homers in MLB. Mickey Mantle is rotten this year, as he was in Season One. Ted Williams was hampered in Season One, won Season Two's A.L. MVP, and is struggling again this season. Tom Seaver is 2-10! Remember that every player's numbers are less than you'd expect because the level of competition is greater than their statistical baseline was built against, then the modifier is added on top of that. Cobb's peak (1910-12) saw him hit .404, but drag that down 20% (for the elevated pitching he's facing) and he's at .324, then apply the extreme modifier and he's potentially a .227 hitter in Eternal Baseball at his absolute worst. It does seem to be "The Year of the Pitcher" in EB so far this season.
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Post by silverfox on Jan 17, 2023 23:12:43 GMT
Cobb's peak (1910-12) saw him hit .404, but drag that down 20% (for the elevated pitching he's facing) and he's at .324, then apply the extreme modifier and he's potentially a .227 hitter in Eternal Baseball at his absolute worst. It does seem to be "The Year of the Pitcher" in EB so far this season.
As I noted on FB, Cobb hit .360 lifetime against pitchers who made the Hall of Fame and .370 against the rest. I could live with .360. I could even live with .324.
You could dig up his body and he'd still hit close to .300 today.
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